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Probability
NCERT Exemplar Class 12
CBSE
Grade 12
Question:
In answering a question on a multiple choice test, a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let $3/4$ be probability that he knows answer and $1/4$ be probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at answer will be correct with probability $1/4$. What is probability that student knows answer given that he answered correctly?
Step-by-Step Solution
Given: In answering a question on a multiple choice test, a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let $3/4$ be probability that he knows answer and $1/4$ be probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at answer will be correct with probability $1/4$. What is probability that student knows answer given that he answered correctly? Step 1: Formulate initial mathematical setup / substitution: Given equation / conditions: $$P(E1)$$ [1.0 Mark] Step 2: Perform intermediate algebraic / calculus operations: Executing the step-by-step reduction: $$1, P(C|E2)$$ [1.0 Mark] Step 3: Evaluate final values / boundary conditions: Substituting limits or solving the simplified system: $$12/13.$$ [1.0 Mark] Conclusion: The final evaluated answer is 12/13..
--- 🎯 Official CBSE Marking Scheme: Formulating mathematical relation: 1.0 Mark Executing algebraic/calculus operations: 1.0 Mark Evaluating final solution/vector: 1.0 Mark
Correct Answer:
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