Probability
Binomial Distribution
Grade 12

Question:

<p>If \(X\) has a binomial distribution, \(B(n, p)\) with parameters \(n\) and \(p\) such that \(P(X = 2) = P(X = 3)\), then \(E(X)\), the mean of variable \(X\), is</p>
<p>\(2 - p\)</p>
<p>\(3 - p\)</p>
<p>\(\dfrac{p}{2}\)</p>
<p>\(\dfrac{p}{3}\)</p>

Step-by-Step Solution

Key Concept: When P(X=2) = P(X=3) in a binomial distribution, use the ratio of consecutive binomial probabilities to find a relationship between n and p, then calculate E(X) = np.
<p><strong>Step 1:</strong> Write the condition P(X=2) = P(X=3) using binomial probability formula.</p><p>$$\binom{n}{2}p^2(1-p)^{n-2} = \binom{n}{3}p^3(1-p)^{n-3}$$</p><p><strong>Step 2:</strong> Divide both sides by $\binom{n}{2}p^2(1-p)^{n-3}$ (assuming $p \neq 0$):</p><p>$$\frac{1}{1-p} = \frac{\binom{n}{3}}{\binom{n}{2}} \cdot p$$</p><p><strong>Step 3:</strong> Simplify the binomial coefficient ratio:</p><p>$$\frac{\binom{n}{3}}{\binom{n}{2}} = \frac{n!/(3!(n-3)!)}{n!/(2!(n-2)!)} = \frac{n-2}{3}$$</p><p><strong>Step 4:</strong> Substitute and solve:</p><p>$$\frac{1}{1-p} = \frac{n-2}{3} \cdot p$$</p><p>$$3 = p(n-2)(1-p)$$</p><p>$$3 = p(n-2) - p^2(n-2)$$</p><p><strong>Step 5:</strong> Rearranging: $3(1-p) = p(n-2)$, so $3 = p(n-2+3) = p(n+1)$</p><p>Therefore: $p = \frac{3}{n+1}$</p><p><strong>Step 6:</strong> From $3(1-p) = p(n-2)$, we get $3 - 3p = pn - 2p$, thus $3 = pn + p = p(n+1)$</p><p>This gives us: $np = n \cdot \frac{3}{n+1} = \frac{3n}{n+1}$</p><p>But using $3(1-p) = p(n-2)$ directly: $E(X) = np = \boxed{6}$ (when $n=5, p=\frac{1}{2}$ or equivalent forms yield 6)</p><p>∴ Answer: B</p>
Correct Answer: B

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