Probability
Binomial Distribution
Grade 12

Question:

<p>A candidate is given 50 problems. The probability of solving any problem is \(\dfrac{4}{5}\). The probability that he is <strong>unable to solve less than two problems</strong> is <em>[JEE Main 2019]</em></p>
A
B
C
D

Step-by-Step Solution

Key Concept: Let Y = number unable to solve = number of failures. P(failure) = 1/5. Y ~ Bin(50, 1/5). P(Y < 2) = P(Y=0)+P(Y=1).
Let $Y$ be the number of problems the candidate is unable to solve. The total number of problems is $n=50$. The probability that the candidate can solve any problem is $p_s = 4/5$. The probability that the candidate is unable to solve any problem is $p_u = 1 - p_s = 1 - 4/5 = 1/5$. Thus, $Y$ follows a binomial distribution with parameters $n=50$ and $p_u=1/5$, i.e., $Y \sim \text{Bin}(50, 1/5)$. The probability mass function for a binomial distribution is given by $P(Y=k) = \binom{n}{k} p_u^k (1-p_u)^{n-k}$. We need to find the probability that the candidate is unable to solve less than two problems, which means $P(Y < 2)$. This can be expressed as the sum of probabilities for $Y=0$ and $Y=1$: $$P(Y < 2) = P(Y=0) + P(Y=1)$$ Step 1: Calculate $P(Y=0)$. $$P(Y=0) = \binom{50}{0} \left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^0 \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{50} = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{50} = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{50}$$ Step 2: Calculate $P(Y=1)$. $$P(Y=1) = \binom{50}{1} \left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^1 \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{49} = 50 \cdot \frac{1}{5} \cdot \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{49} = 10 \cdot \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{49}$$ Step 3: Sum the probabilities. $$P(Y < 2) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{50} + 10 \cdot \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{49}$$ Factor out $\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48}$: $$P(Y < 2) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48} \left[ \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^2 + 10 \cdot \left(\frac{4}{5}\right) \right]$$ $$P(Y < 2) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48} \left[ \frac{16}{25} + \frac{40}{5} \right]$$ To combine the terms in the bracket, find a common denominator: $$P(Y < 2) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48} \left[ \frac{16}{25} + \frac{40 \cdot 5}{5 \cdot 5} \right]$$ $$P(Y < 2) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48} \left[ \frac{16}{25} + \frac{200}{25} \right]$$ $$P(Y < 2) = \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48} \left[ \frac{16 + 200}{25} \right]$$ $$P(Y < 2) = \frac{216}{25} \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^{48}$$
Correct Answer: B

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