Geometric Distribution
Independent Shooting Problems and Comparison of Number of Trials
GRB_1000_MCQ
Grade Class 12
Question:
$A$ and $B$ shoot independently until each shoots their target. They have probabilities $\dfrac{3}{5}$ and $\dfrac{5}{7}$ respectively of hitting the target at each shot. Then:
probability that $B$ require more shots than $A$ is $\dfrac{6}{31}$.
probability that $B$ require less shots than $A$ is $\dfrac{10}{31}$.
probability that $A$ and $B$ require same number of shots is $\dfrac{15}{31}$.
probability that $B$ require more shots than $A$ is same as probability that $A$ require more shots than $B$.
Step-by-Step Solution
Step 1: Define the probability that $A$ needs exactly $n$ shots: $A$ misses the first $n-1$ shots and hits on the $n$-th.
$$P(A = n) = \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^{n-1} \cdot \frac{3}{5}$$
Similarly for $B$:
$$P(B = n) = \left(\frac{2}{7}\right)^{n-1} \cdot \frac{5}{7}$$
Step 2: Compute the probability that $A$ and $B$ require the same number of shots:
$$P(A = B) = \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P(A=n) \cdot P(B=n) = \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^{n-1}\frac{3}{5} \cdot \left(\frac{2}{7}\right)^{n-1}\frac{5}{7}$$
$$= \frac{3}{5} \cdot \frac{5}{7} \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{4}{35}\right)^{n-1} = \frac{3}{7} \cdot \frac{1}{1 - \frac{4}{35}} = \frac{3}{7} \cdot \frac{35}{31} = \frac{15}{31}$$
So option (c) is correct.
Step 3: Compute the probability that $B$ requires more shots than $A$:
$$P(B > A) = \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P(A=n) \cdot P(B > n) = \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{2}{5}\right)^{n-1}\frac{3}{5} \cdot \left(\frac{2}{7}\right)^{n}$$
$$= \frac{3}{5} \cdot \frac{2}{7} \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{4}{35}\right)^{n-1} = \frac{6}{35} \cdot \frac{35}{31} = \frac{6}{31}$$
So option (a) is correct.
Step 4: Since $P(A=B) + P(B>A) + P(A>B) = 1$:
$$P(A > B) = 1 - \frac{15}{31} - \frac{6}{31} = \frac{10}{31}$$
This is the probability that $B$ requires less shots than $A$. So option (b) is correct.
Step 5: Since $P(B > A) = \frac{6}{31} \neq \frac{10}{31} = P(A > B)$, option (d) is incorrect.
Step 6: The correct options are (a), (b), and (c), i.e., options 1, 2, 3.
Correct Answer: 1, 2, 3